Can we agree that perhaps we've had enough singing competitions, and instead need to focus on other aspects of musical talent for a while? In the age of Youtube and autotune, we have plenty of "good enough" singers, and quite a few really good ones who never become famous. You could surely find a drop-in replacement for most young singers without much fuss. This isn't to suggest singing well is easy, just that it is accessible. Most people will sing along to their favorites songs at some point; a smaller portion will give it a go singing those songs on their own; a vastly smaller portion will attempt to learn an instrument; and far fewer will make a serious attempt at composing new music. We have constant singing competitions even though that is not the bottleneck to new enjoyable music. We need better and more diverse lyricists; we need more individuals talented with instruments who are capable of experimenting with compositions.
Singing competitions ignore all of this. They make the assumption the winner will have a qualified backing-band, the lyrics will be written for them, the compositions done for them, etc. They may provide input and personalizations during the process, but there seems to be very little effort made to ensure they have talents in these other aspects. These competitions are looking for that drop-in replacement. At the other end of the spectrum you might have a "Battle of the Bands" style event, but that is not the solution either. Taken as a whole, there are countless reasons one band may seem better than another even while individual elements of the "better" band are inferior. Focusing on the band tends to hide the individual effort and talent required to be worthy of band membership in the first place. Importantly, they offer little in the way of a reference starting point for the individual.
I would love to see a major broadcast network show focusing on band-essential instruments, or an individual instrument. America's Next Top Guitarist, maybe as a summer-season special; or perhaps a show focused on the creation of music rather than strictly the recitation of music. In general I find the most consistently enjoyable artists are the singer/songwriter types who are deeply involved with their music from start to finish. This is true even when they're not the most vocally talented, as the uniqueness of their lyrics and styles offer so much on their own. But for some reason, we are making very little effort to encourage these well-rounded artists from developing. Instead, we've encouraged a sea of next-American-Idol wannabe's who have been led to believe that singing a decent cover of a top-40 song, along with shutting your eyes and waving your hand at the proper time, is what it means to be a musical artist.
Friday, November 30, 2018
Sunday, July 22, 2018
Lumina 300. Only 50 Lumens.
Looking at bike headlamps, as it might be nice to ride after dark instead of the 100 degree heat. Found the "Bell Sports Lumina 300" bike headlamp at Walmart. You might think that implies 300 Lumens, but you'd be wrong. It's only rated at 50. I wonder how many people are mislead by that product name. They aren't lying or misrepresenting, but it seems pretty likely that their goal is to confuse and mislead. I didn't purchase, as I've seen brighter ones online for the same price.
https://bit.ly/2NCvLfA
https://bit.ly/2NCvLfA
Monday, July 16, 2018
From the article: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-44847184
I'm all for being weary of Internet connected devices with children for both developmental and privacy concerns. But it seems that this concern of kids learning to be rude by the terse commands given to Alexa or Siri is rather ridiculous. Yes, I expect there will be some learning required for the child to separate talking to a human-sounding device vs talking to a human, but that's ok. I have every confidence that children and parents are up to the task. Their interaction with pets is perhaps a good example of why this isn't a problem. Nearly any child who has a pet, especially a dog, will issue commands to that pet different than they will ask a person. We issue very terse commands: Sit. Stay. Come. Fetch. I don't recall there ever being concern about such rude commands impacting communication with humans. One difference between pets and an Alexa enabled device of course is that Alexa sounds human and speaks back. but in an age where children are regularly exposed to television and video games, which have their own real-sounding fake people, of which children already do well learning to separate real from fake, I can't see these devices as any more worrisome in that regard.
In 2016, venture capitalist Hunter Walk wrote a Medium post about the Amazon Echo which he described as magical, but added that it was adversely affecting his child's behaviour.
The reason he gave was the lack of manners required to get a response.
"Cognitively I'm not sure a kid gets why you can boss Alexa around but not a person," he wrote.
In January 2018, the research company ChildWise published a report warning that children who grew up accustomed to speaking that way to a virtual personality might become aggressive in later dealings with humans.
I'm all for being weary of Internet connected devices with children for both developmental and privacy concerns. But it seems that this concern of kids learning to be rude by the terse commands given to Alexa or Siri is rather ridiculous. Yes, I expect there will be some learning required for the child to separate talking to a human-sounding device vs talking to a human, but that's ok. I have every confidence that children and parents are up to the task. Their interaction with pets is perhaps a good example of why this isn't a problem. Nearly any child who has a pet, especially a dog, will issue commands to that pet different than they will ask a person. We issue very terse commands: Sit. Stay. Come. Fetch. I don't recall there ever being concern about such rude commands impacting communication with humans. One difference between pets and an Alexa enabled device of course is that Alexa sounds human and speaks back. but in an age where children are regularly exposed to television and video games, which have their own real-sounding fake people, of which children already do well learning to separate real from fake, I can't see these devices as any more worrisome in that regard.
Sunday, July 1, 2018
Kepler cost versus value
A brief search suggests the Kepler mission has cost around $600M. It has found around 4500 planets or candidate planets. Assuming at least 90% of those ultimately verify, that is a cost of $145k per planet found. This is obviously a very superficial and incomplete way to gauge the value of the mission, but I find it an intriguing number none-the-less. I can't help but wonder what the cost per planet found will be for TESS, though I get the sense it will be less than Kepler's. How fun would it be if it one day falls low enough that a crowd-funding effort could suffice:
"purchase the $50 package, and you can name your own planet! Platinum-package purchases at $500 will get a personalized dvd and poster including the details of a follow-up planetary survey!"I know there's a lot of fake/inconsequential star-registries out there where you can pay to name a star, but it would gain a certain legitimacy if it was linked to an actual discovery project...and would be fun.
Monday, January 4, 2016
U.S. A Threat to Russia
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/01/03/russia-reportedly-names-us-as-threat-to-national-security-for-first-time.html?intcmp=trending
So the big news, "Russia reportedly names US as threat to national security for first time". Is this really that surprising? With their continued aggression and criminal actions in places like Ukraine and Georgia(both U.S. allies), the U.S. absolutely *should* be a threat to their security. The sad truth is that we really are not. Aside from sanctions, which have a limited effectiveness, there is no serious talk of combating the destabilizing and criminal actions of the Russians. The United States plans to do nothing threatening to roll back the damage done by Russia's crimes. If their repeated invasion and threats against neighboring nations aren't enough, consider their military support of Assad, a man who used chemical weapons against civilians in his own country(Russia literally going to war for the man), while fighting against Western-supported rebels under the guise of fighting ISIS; or perhaps consider Russia's long-term support of most of the enemies of the United States. Yes, the United States should be a threat to Russia, because Russia is an active aggressor against U.S. allies and a continued threat to global security.
So the big news, "Russia reportedly names US as threat to national security for first time". Is this really that surprising? With their continued aggression and criminal actions in places like Ukraine and Georgia(both U.S. allies), the U.S. absolutely *should* be a threat to their security. The sad truth is that we really are not. Aside from sanctions, which have a limited effectiveness, there is no serious talk of combating the destabilizing and criminal actions of the Russians. The United States plans to do nothing threatening to roll back the damage done by Russia's crimes. If their repeated invasion and threats against neighboring nations aren't enough, consider their military support of Assad, a man who used chemical weapons against civilians in his own country(Russia literally going to war for the man), while fighting against Western-supported rebels under the guise of fighting ISIS; or perhaps consider Russia's long-term support of most of the enemies of the United States. Yes, the United States should be a threat to Russia, because Russia is an active aggressor against U.S. allies and a continued threat to global security.
Monday, December 28, 2015
Free Will
I've watched yet another video, by yet another Atheist, declaring their belief in a lack of free will. The basic premise is as expected, that all actions and thoughts emanate from within the brain as a result of past experiences and current input; thought and choice is nothing more than a consequence of unguided chemical reactions and electrical impulses within the brain. This latest video watched(which itself is quite old), was a video by someone I otherwise quite enjoy watching lately and believe a very reasonable person. In fact, I can't argue that this viewpoint is unreasonable to hold. I do argue that it is a premature conclusion(scientifically) at best, and ignorant of modern science and the unknown at worst. In any case, I have never been convinced of this belief.
First off, we know very little of the brain and mind. There are constant advancements in understanding how the brain works, and increasingly how certain elements of decision or mental processing occur. As of this time, however, we are no-where near creating a model of the entire complexity of the brain. Until that is done, it is entirely premature to argue that the brain is nothing more than a state-machine, using current state and environmental inputs to drive us along. We might have a hard time envisioning how free-will works, but it is a non-scientific arrogance to claim free-will is clearly non-existent.
Some of the most interesting research right now has to do with quantum mechanics which are somewhat famously known to be indeterminate. There is a randomness at play in the basic rules of the universe that prevents any quantum system from being 100% predictable at any moment. If science itself supports an indeterminate reality at it's core, is it really a stretch to argue that it leaves no place for free-will? This randomness of nature provides just one possibility that religious individuals can point to as a potential mechanism for the function of a soul(assuming our brain is sensitive enough to a quantum scale randomness to be so perturbed in the first place...this remains to be proved, but science hasn't shut the door on free-will yet). Sure, you might argue that this randomness would be merely another input into our otherwise machine-like brain, leaving still no evidence for a soul. But at the same time, it would not eliminate the possibility of a soul unless you could also prove it is truly random in a particular case of an individual decision.
If future science leaves us in such a case of natural indeterminacy as an input to our thought process, we would have no hope of disproving the existence of a soul and proving a lack of free-will. As a scientifically minded Christian, I certainly hope(and expect), this is the sort of situation we eventually reach. Perhaps it will finally stop Atheists from trying to argue against the Truth of Christianity, as they would know scientifically they can't. At the same time, it would stop fellow Christians from painfully ignorant attempts to assert that science is wrong, misguided, etc, as science would limit itself from the religious realm(at least concerning a soul).
I don't personally advocate that quantum indeterminacy is the mechanism by which the soul or free-will works; we just don't know yet. But I do believe it provides just one example of why we shouldn't call the issue of free-will scientifically settled(or even sort of known). We are only now beginning to truly look at the physical function of the brain, and there is still very little known about how physical reality functions on a foundational level. To claim that there is no room for a soul or free-will is at this point a faith. As a scientifically-minded Christian, I find it annoying that Atheists so often ignore the limits of modern science, just as the religious so often ignore the limits of our divine teachings.
First off, we know very little of the brain and mind. There are constant advancements in understanding how the brain works, and increasingly how certain elements of decision or mental processing occur. As of this time, however, we are no-where near creating a model of the entire complexity of the brain. Until that is done, it is entirely premature to argue that the brain is nothing more than a state-machine, using current state and environmental inputs to drive us along. We might have a hard time envisioning how free-will works, but it is a non-scientific arrogance to claim free-will is clearly non-existent.
Some of the most interesting research right now has to do with quantum mechanics which are somewhat famously known to be indeterminate. There is a randomness at play in the basic rules of the universe that prevents any quantum system from being 100% predictable at any moment. If science itself supports an indeterminate reality at it's core, is it really a stretch to argue that it leaves no place for free-will? This randomness of nature provides just one possibility that religious individuals can point to as a potential mechanism for the function of a soul(assuming our brain is sensitive enough to a quantum scale randomness to be so perturbed in the first place...this remains to be proved, but science hasn't shut the door on free-will yet). Sure, you might argue that this randomness would be merely another input into our otherwise machine-like brain, leaving still no evidence for a soul. But at the same time, it would not eliminate the possibility of a soul unless you could also prove it is truly random in a particular case of an individual decision.
If future science leaves us in such a case of natural indeterminacy as an input to our thought process, we would have no hope of disproving the existence of a soul and proving a lack of free-will. As a scientifically minded Christian, I certainly hope(and expect), this is the sort of situation we eventually reach. Perhaps it will finally stop Atheists from trying to argue against the Truth of Christianity, as they would know scientifically they can't. At the same time, it would stop fellow Christians from painfully ignorant attempts to assert that science is wrong, misguided, etc, as science would limit itself from the religious realm(at least concerning a soul).
I don't personally advocate that quantum indeterminacy is the mechanism by which the soul or free-will works; we just don't know yet. But I do believe it provides just one example of why we shouldn't call the issue of free-will scientifically settled(or even sort of known). We are only now beginning to truly look at the physical function of the brain, and there is still very little known about how physical reality functions on a foundational level. To claim that there is no room for a soul or free-will is at this point a faith. As a scientifically-minded Christian, I find it annoying that Atheists so often ignore the limits of modern science, just as the religious so often ignore the limits of our divine teachings.
Friday, January 2, 2015
Let's End Video Hoaxes
I don't know about everyone else, but personally I hate that there are so many fraudulent videos being created and shared on the internet, with far too few willing or able to identify them. Sometimes they're benign, simply a "Look at this unbelievable thing that happened", which of course didn't happen but it is on video so it is believed. At worst, these are a time-waster, or hurt your pride when you realize you've been taken. Sometimes they're not so benign, such as videos edited in a manner to enrage people against an innocent man or group. Most such videos(at least the ones I've seen), will use fancy editing of real events(hiding context that explains perceived misconduct), or uses a combination of clips from different events to completely fabricate a scenario(for example, video of police misconduct from years past, and long forgotten by most, mixed with news clips from modern riots leaving viewers with the impression of new crimes by government). And it isn't just end-users on social media who are fooled by such clips, they regularly are spread by popular news and political websites as well.
With the massive volume of such fraudulent creations, we need a way to more easily track video origin. What would be nice is if there is a way to see links to the original uses of individual segments as you are watching them. This way, when you see that amazing or infuriating clip you can immediately see that it is bunk, or at least see that it has been highly edited from the original. It may seem that this is a huge problem to tackle(as how can we build such an index to search against), but I think there are two very good possibilities.
First, since most of these videos are either initially or eventually posted to Youtube, perhaps there is a way to utilize the anti-copyright-infringment tech to help trace parts of videos. I'm sure they're already breaking all videos into bits and creating a hash or other log in order to find infringing parts. Depending on how this is done, it may be trivial to use this to find the "first sight" of each clip, or perhaps a list of all uses of the clip.
In many ways, I can't believe I am suggesting this. When Google first started automatically monitoring videos for copyright infringement, I opposed it due to the risk of using that tech for censorship of fair-use content. Since then, there have been many instances of take-down requests resulting in censorship of fair-use, but I can't blame the monitoring tech for that as I believe most are the result of human-error(or human-corruption, depending on the case).
If we could use the anti-infringement tech for fraud-detection we can possibly improve the quality of amateur reporting by making frauds harder(and therefore the remaining video more trustworthy). This could also be used for searching. If you want to find video of a current event(say a recent riot), search by date excluding clips that first appeared prior to the date(not just by posting date of the individual video). Only a google/youtube engineer can tell use if such a thing is possible, but it would be wonderful if they were to do so.
Another possibility is to build that tech into the video decoder. While you are watching video, it would automatically be analysing and fingerprinting what you watch and when you watch it. These logs would be sent(anonymously), to a public database which merely tracks the first few appearances of that video. Then, when that video gets remixed into the latest fraud, a user who wants to check whether it is true would simply press a button, and their browser/app would query the public database and present the list of earliest known uses of each segment within it.
I'm sure there are a number of difficulties to overcome, but I don't think any of them are too difficult for this to be a reasonable goal. Obviously, there would have to be coordination between several parties for the decoder-based version to work(utilizing the Youtube anti-infringement tech would be more straightforward, but dependent on the dedication of a single company and assuming it could be re-purposed for this use).
With the massive volume of such fraudulent creations, we need a way to more easily track video origin. What would be nice is if there is a way to see links to the original uses of individual segments as you are watching them. This way, when you see that amazing or infuriating clip you can immediately see that it is bunk, or at least see that it has been highly edited from the original. It may seem that this is a huge problem to tackle(as how can we build such an index to search against), but I think there are two very good possibilities.
First, since most of these videos are either initially or eventually posted to Youtube, perhaps there is a way to utilize the anti-copyright-infringment tech to help trace parts of videos. I'm sure they're already breaking all videos into bits and creating a hash or other log in order to find infringing parts. Depending on how this is done, it may be trivial to use this to find the "first sight" of each clip, or perhaps a list of all uses of the clip.
In many ways, I can't believe I am suggesting this. When Google first started automatically monitoring videos for copyright infringement, I opposed it due to the risk of using that tech for censorship of fair-use content. Since then, there have been many instances of take-down requests resulting in censorship of fair-use, but I can't blame the monitoring tech for that as I believe most are the result of human-error(or human-corruption, depending on the case).
If we could use the anti-infringement tech for fraud-detection we can possibly improve the quality of amateur reporting by making frauds harder(and therefore the remaining video more trustworthy). This could also be used for searching. If you want to find video of a current event(say a recent riot), search by date excluding clips that first appeared prior to the date(not just by posting date of the individual video). Only a google/youtube engineer can tell use if such a thing is possible, but it would be wonderful if they were to do so.
Another possibility is to build that tech into the video decoder. While you are watching video, it would automatically be analysing and fingerprinting what you watch and when you watch it. These logs would be sent(anonymously), to a public database which merely tracks the first few appearances of that video. Then, when that video gets remixed into the latest fraud, a user who wants to check whether it is true would simply press a button, and their browser/app would query the public database and present the list of earliest known uses of each segment within it.
I'm sure there are a number of difficulties to overcome, but I don't think any of them are too difficult for this to be a reasonable goal. Obviously, there would have to be coordination between several parties for the decoder-based version to work(utilizing the Youtube anti-infringement tech would be more straightforward, but dependent on the dedication of a single company and assuming it could be re-purposed for this use).
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